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300841.SZ$47.11-1.96%
Fair $47.11+0.0%

300841.SZ

Chengdu Kanghua Biological Products Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyShenzhen

$47.11

-0.94 (-1.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $47.11Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $416.7M · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 300841.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Chengdu Kanghua Biological Products Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.1B

P/E

27.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.0x

↑

ROE

6.2%

↑

Gross Margin

92.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$47
$47$94

TradingView lightweight chart

300841.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $47.11Periodo +4.6%
Fair value: $47.11

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

26.5%

FCF / Net income

1.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.17B · net income $219.9M · FCF $308.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

92.0%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

23.4%-22.3% pts

Net margin

18.9%-22.5% pts

FCF margin

26.5%+42.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.17B$1.17B$1.43B$1.58B$1.45B
Net Income$219.9M$219.9M$398.7M$509.2M$598.1M
EBITDA$340.2M$340.2M$537.6M$630.3M$719.6M
EPS1.691.693.033.814.46
Gross Margin92.0%92.0%94.2%93.5%93.6%
Operating Margin23.4%23.4%38.5%38.8%45.7%
Net Margin18.9%18.9%27.8%32.3%41.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.050.050.04
Current Ratio7.897.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$308.9M$308.9M$427.9M$416.7M$-224.2M
Returns
ROE6.2%6.2%11.6%14.5%19.4%
Valuation
P/E27.0727.0717.1019.5319.65
EV/EBITDA15.0215.0211.1714.4315.60
P/B1.731.731.982.833.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-18.6%-18.6%-9.2%9.0%—
EPS Growth-44.1%-44.1%-20.5%-14.7%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.18

Spread vs growth

-79.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.06

Spread vs growth

-68.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.15

Spread vs growth

-61.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.2%

Total return

-13.2%

Start / end P/E

18.1x → 27.8x

EPS bridge

3.03 → 1.69

Residual

-23.6%

EPS growth-44.1%
Multiple rerating+53.5%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.