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300844.SZ$27.07-3.32%
Fair $27.07+0.0%

300844.SZ

Guangzhou S.P.I Design Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$27.07

-0.93 (-3.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.07Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-29.5M · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300844.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou S.P.I Design Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

44.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$27
$26$61

TradingView lightweight chart

300844.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28.00Periodo -33.1%
Fair value: $27.07

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.4%

FCF / Net income

0.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $473.1M · net income $-26.3M · FCF $-20.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.9%+31.5% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+35.5% pts

Net margin

-5.6%+31.5% pts

FCF margin

-4.4%+33.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$473.1M$473.1M$459.3M$333.2M$330.6M
Net Income$-26.3M$-26.3M$28.6M$-108.3M$-122.5M
EBITDA$-4.0M$-4.0M$57.0M$-71.8M$-114.3M
EPS-0.29-0.290.32-1.20-1.35
Gross Margin44.9%44.9%50.0%36.1%13.4%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%16.8%-7.5%-30.0%
Net Margin-5.6%-5.6%6.2%-32.5%-37.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.030.030.07
Current Ratio3.563.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-20.8M$-20.8M$-29.5M$-61.8M$-125.7M
Returns
ROE-3.3%-3.3%3.7%-14.7%-14.5%
Valuation
P/E——64.73——
EV/EBITDA——24.95——
P/B3.053.052.412.931.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.0%3.0%37.8%0.8%—
EPS Growth-190.6%-190.6%126.7%11.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -41.7%

Total return

-41.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.32 → -0.29

Residual

-41.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-41.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.