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300854.SZ$28.92-14.26%
Fair $28.92+0.0%

300854.SZ

ShenZhen GAD Environmental Technology Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Pollution & Treatment ControlsShenzhen

$28.92

-4.81 (-14.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $28.92Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-68.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -9.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300854.SZLocal privado en este navegador · ShenZhen GAD Environmental Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-9.7%

↓

Gross Margin

16.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$29
$11$34

TradingView lightweight chart

300854.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28.92Periodo +12.2%
Fair value: $28.92

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-16.2%

FCF / Net income

0.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $510.4M · net income $-86.7M · FCF $-82.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.8%-12.5% pts

Operating margin

-4.1%-18.3% pts

Net margin

-17.0%-20.9% pts

FCF margin

-16.2%-6.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$510.4M$510.4M$645.8M$835.9M$722.8M
Net Income$-86.7M$-86.7M$13.1M$20.5M$28.1M
EBITDA$-48.2M$-48.2M$54.9M$59.6M$72.7M
EPS-0.87-0.870.130.210.28
Gross Margin16.8%16.8%23.9%22.7%29.3%
Operating Margin-4.1%-4.1%6.9%7.7%14.2%
Net Margin-17.0%-17.0%2.0%2.5%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.000.01
Current Ratio2.612.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-82.6M$-82.6M$-68.0M$111.7M$-70.3M
Returns
ROE-9.7%-9.7%1.3%2.1%2.9%
Valuation
P/E——62.2960.6140.15
EV/EBITDA——12.4518.3813.35
P/B3.243.240.821.271.17
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.0%-21.0%-22.8%15.6%—
EPS Growth-765.1%-765.1%-37.8%-25.0%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +158.0%

Total return

+158.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.13 → -0.87

Residual

+157.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+157.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.