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300867.SZ$20.47+0.69%
Fair $20.47+0.0%

300867.SZ

Shengyuan Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Waste ManagementShenzhen

$20.47

+0.14 (+0.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.47Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $78.0M · quality 38.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 300867.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shengyuan Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

18.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.3x

↑

ROE

6.3%

↑

Gross Margin

43.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.97

↑
52-Week Range$20
$17$25

TradingView lightweight chart

300867.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.47Periodo -55.3%
Fair value: $20.47

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

24.4%

FCF / Net income

1.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.56B · net income $248.2M · FCF $379.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.3%+13.5% pts

Operating margin

36.9%+12.3% pts

Net margin

16.0%+5.7% pts

FCF margin

24.4%+28.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.56B$1.56B$1.58B$1.75B$1.75B
Net Income$248.2M$248.2M$182.1M$146.5M$180.2M
EBITDA$811.3M$811.3M$710.9M$665.7M$676.9M
EPS0.910.910.670.540.66
Gross Margin43.3%43.3%40.2%31.4%29.9%
Operating Margin36.9%36.9%33.2%24.6%24.7%
Net Margin16.0%16.0%11.5%8.4%10.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.970.971.031.101.16
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$379.0M$379.0M$78.0M$40.3M$-72.9M
Returns
ROE6.3%6.3%5.0%4.2%5.4%
Valuation
P/E18.7818.7818.4929.2327.54
EV/EBITDA11.2911.299.8412.0812.58
P/B1.421.420.921.231.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%-9.5%-0.2%—
EPS Growth36.3%36.3%24.3%-18.7%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.82

Spread vs growth

10.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.20

Spread vs growth

17.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.54

Spread vs growth

21.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.0%

Total return

+10.0%

Start / end P/E

27.9x → 22.4x

EPS bridge

0.67 → 0.91

Residual

-7.1%

EPS growth+36.3%
Multiple rerating-19.6%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.