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300947.SZ$15.77+1.68%
Fair $15.77+0.0%

300947.SZ

Shanghai DOBE Cultural & Creative Industry Development (Group)Co. LTD.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesShenzhen

$15.77

+0.26 (+1.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.77Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $570.7M · quality 58.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.88, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300947.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai DOBE Cultural & Creative Industry Development (Group)Co. LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

10.4x

↑

ROE

-4.9%

↓

Gross Margin

28.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.88

↑
52-Week Range$16
$15$29

TradingView lightweight chart

300947.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.77Periodo -48.3%
Fair value: $15.77

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.2%

FCF CAGR

+39.3%

FCF margin

46.7%

FCF / Net income

-9.86x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.22B · net income $-57.9M · FCF $570.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.3%-13.2% pts

Operating margin

9.7%-9.2% pts

Net margin

-4.7%-8.9% pts

FCF margin

46.7%+19.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.22B$1.22B$1.26B$1.17B$778.8M
Net Income$-57.9M$-57.9M$34.1M$33.2M$32.5M
EBITDA$538.8M$538.8M$675.8M$647.5M$482.1M
EPS-0.38-0.380.230.220.21
Gross Margin28.3%28.3%34.3%33.0%41.5%
Operating Margin9.7%9.7%16.8%14.3%19.0%
Net Margin-4.7%-4.7%2.7%2.8%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.882.883.013.233.24
Current Ratio0.930.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$570.7M$570.7M$586.8M$510.1M$210.9M
Returns
ROE-4.9%-4.9%2.7%2.6%2.5%
Valuation
P/E——77.1771.7362.81
EV/EBITDA10.4510.459.299.5411.28
P/B2.032.032.081.851.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%7.7%50.1%—
EPS Growth-265.2%-265.2%4.5%4.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.8%

Total return

-28.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.23 → -0.38

Residual

-28.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.