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300968.SZ$12.04+2.47%
Fair $12.04+0.0%

300968.SZ

Guangdong Green Precision Components Co., Ltd

Industrials / Metal FabricationShenzhen

$12.04

+0.29 (+2.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.04Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-40.9M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300968.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Green Precision Components Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

70.3x

↑

ROE

-1.1%

↓

Gross Margin

14.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$12
$11$17

TradingView lightweight chart

300968.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.76Periodo -46.1%
Fair value: $12.04

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.0%

FCF / Net income

3.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.33B · net income $-20.3M · FCF $-79.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.7%-4.7% pts

Operating margin

0.1%-4.8% pts

Net margin

-1.5%-8.9% pts

FCF margin

-6.0%-6.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.33B$1.33B$1.22B$1.12B$1.57B
Net Income$-20.3M$-20.3M$53.0M$13.0M$115.9M
EBITDA$58.7M$58.7M$143.4M$102.4M$210.6M
EPS-0.05-0.050.130.030.28
Gross Margin14.7%14.7%17.1%16.6%19.4%
Operating Margin0.1%0.1%2.4%-1.9%4.9%
Net Margin-1.5%-1.5%4.3%1.2%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.000.01
Current Ratio3.753.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-79.4M$-79.4M$-40.9M$171.9M$9.2M
Returns
ROE-1.1%-1.1%2.8%0.7%6.0%
Valuation
P/E——125.46402.3329.79
EV/EBITDA70.3170.3140.4341.9112.24
P/B2.672.673.492.811.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.6%8.6%8.6%-28.3%—
EPS Growth-138.5%-138.5%333.3%-89.3%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.3%

Total return

-17.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.13 → -0.05

Residual

-17.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.