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300973.SZ$27.59-2.92%
Fair $27.59+0.0%

300973.SZ

Ligao Foods Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShenzhen

$27.59

-0.83 (-2.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.59Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-80.7M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300973.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Ligao Foods Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.7B

P/E

16.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.9x

↑

ROE

11.4%

↑

Gross Margin

29.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.49

↑
52-Week Range$28
$26$57

TradingView lightweight chart

300973.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28.42Periodo -71.6%
Fair value: $27.59

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.35B · net income $304.7M · FCF $-2.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.7%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

9.9%+3.1% pts

Net margin

7.0%+2.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.1%+8.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.35B$4.35B$3.84B$3.50B$2.91B
Net Income$304.7M$304.7M$268.0M$73.0M$143.8M
EBITDA$593.4M$593.4M$522.7M$232.9M$271.6M
EPS1.831.831.550.420.79
Gross Margin29.7%29.7%31.5%31.4%31.8%
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%9.7%4.0%6.8%
Net Margin7.0%7.0%7.0%2.1%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.490.490.440.390.07
Current Ratio1.901.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.7M$-2.7M$-141.4M$-80.7M$-235.9M
Returns
ROE11.4%11.4%10.5%3.0%6.8%
Valuation
P/E16.4216.4224.32109.53119.97
EV/EBITDA8.908.9013.5433.9062.07
P/B1.721.722.543.248.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.5%13.5%9.6%20.2%—
EPS Growth17.9%17.9%270.3%-46.8%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.45

Spread vs growth

7.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.96

Spread vs growth

7.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4.77

Spread vs growth

7.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -46.4%

Total return

-46.4%

Start / end P/E

34.8x → 15.1x

EPS bridge

1.55 → 1.83

Residual

-10.1%

EPS growth+17.9%
Multiple rerating-56.6%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.