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300977.SZ$19.29-4.74%
Fair $19.29+0.0%

300977.SZ

Shenzhen Ridge Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$19.29

-0.96 (-4.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.29Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.0M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300977.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Ridge Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

128.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

59.5x

↑

ROE

2.2%

↓

Gross Margin

35.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$19
$16$26

TradingView lightweight chart

300977.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.29Periodo -36.2%
Fair value: $19.29

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $467.3M · net income $29.8M · FCF $-4.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.7%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

2.1%-5.0% pts

Net margin

6.4%+3.6% pts

FCF margin

-0.9%+9.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$467.3M$467.3M$469.8M$491.3M$571.8M
Net Income$29.8M$29.8M$-25.7M$40.9M$15.7M
EBITDA$47.4M$47.4M$-23.5M$56.7M$33.6M
EPS0.200.20-0.170.270.10
Gross Margin35.7%35.7%36.6%39.7%37.1%
Operating Margin2.1%2.1%3.5%11.3%7.1%
Net Margin6.4%6.4%-5.5%8.3%2.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.000.010.09
Current Ratio7.547.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-4.3M$-4.3M$-1.0M$62.7M$-61.1M
Returns
ROE2.2%2.2%-1.9%2.9%1.1%
Valuation
P/E128.60128.60—69.44129.07
EV/EBITDA59.4659.46—47.8861.35
P/B2.082.081.832.001.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.5%-0.5%-4.4%-14.1%—
EPS Growth217.6%217.6%-163.0%170.0%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

104.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.71

Spread vs growth

113.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

59.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.07

Spread vs growth

158.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

32.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.34

Spread vs growth

185.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.7%

Total return

+10.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.17 → 0.20

Residual

+9.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.