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300987.SZ$14.38-3.68%
Fair $14.38+0.0%

300987.SZ

Sichuan Newsnet Media (Group) Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesShenzhen

$14.38

-0.55 (-3.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.38Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $40.9M · quality 73.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300987.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Sichuan Newsnet Media (Group) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

130.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.5x

↑

ROE

2.6%

↓

Gross Margin

30.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$14
$14$27

TradingView lightweight chart

300987.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.38Periodo -63.6%
Fair value: $14.38

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.2%

FCF CAGR

+52.9%

FCF margin

39.6%

FCF / Net income

5.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $308.7M · net income $20.6M · FCF $122.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.8%-10.7% pts

Operating margin

6.1%-2.1% pts

Net margin

6.7%-7.6% pts

FCF margin

39.6%+22.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$308.7M$308.7M$288.0M$239.9M$196.9M
Net Income$20.6M$20.6M$23.8M$31.3M$28.2M
EBITDA$107.1M$107.1M$70.0M$50.8M$47.6M
EPS0.120.120.140.180.16
Gross Margin30.8%30.8%34.1%36.1%41.5%
Operating Margin6.1%6.1%8.4%5.4%8.2%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%8.3%13.1%14.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.280.030.01
Current Ratio3.863.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$122.3M$122.3M$40.9M$32.2M$34.2M
Returns
ROE2.6%2.6%3.0%3.9%3.5%
Valuation
P/E130.73130.7394.4397.2295.94
EV/EBITDA19.5319.5328.2949.8344.33
P/B3.073.072.793.763.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.2%7.2%20.0%21.8%—
EPS Growth-14.3%-14.3%-22.2%12.5%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

119.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.28

Spread vs growth

-134.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

66.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.54

Spread vs growth

-81.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

35.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.49

Spread vs growth

-49.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.5%

Total return

-9.5%

Start / end P/E

114.5x → 119.8x

EPS bridge

0.14 → 0.12

Residual

-0.7%

EPS growth-14.3%
Multiple rerating+4.7%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.