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300989.SZ$14.47+0.84%
Fair $14.47+0.0%

300989.SZ

LAY-OUT Planning Consultants Co. Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$14.47

+0.12 (+0.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.47Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-18.4M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300989.SZLocal privado en este navegador · LAY-OUT Planning Consultants Co. Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

160.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

47.6x

↑

ROE

2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

47.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$14
$13$19

TradingView lightweight chart

300989.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.47Periodo -48.8%
Fair value: $14.47

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $316.9M · net income $19.5M · FCF $-18.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.4%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

11.9%+7.1% pts

Net margin

6.2%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.8%+6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$316.9M$316.9M$318.8M$482.8M$442.1M
Net Income$19.5M$19.5M$-45.3M$44.1M$30.7M
EBITDA$58.5M$58.5M$-11.2M$70.7M$53.7M
EPS0.090.09-0.220.210.15
Gross Margin47.4%47.4%38.0%45.5%42.1%
Operating Margin11.9%11.9%-10.6%8.4%4.9%
Net Margin6.2%6.2%-14.2%9.1%6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.080.060.02
Current Ratio6.706.70———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-18.4M$-18.4M$-96.4M$-7.8M$-53.5M
Returns
ROE2.0%2.0%-4.6%4.2%3.0%
Valuation
P/E160.78160.78—87.6785.57
EV/EBITDA47.6347.63—51.0841.82
P/B3.153.153.093.682.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.6%-0.6%-34.0%9.2%—
EPS Growth140.9%140.9%-204.8%43.7%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

142.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.28

Spread vs growth

-1.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

76.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.55

Spread vs growth

64.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

39.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.50

Spread vs growth

101.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.4%

Total return

-11.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.22 → 0.09

Residual

-11.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.