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300994.SZ$12.54-2.49%
Fair $12.54+0.0%

300994.SZ

Joy Kie Corporation Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureShenzhen

$12.54

-0.32 (-2.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.54Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $41.3M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300994.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Joy Kie Corporation Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

24.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.7x

↑

ROE

12.2%

↑

Gross Margin

14.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$13
$12$22

TradingView lightweight chart

300994.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.86Periodo -55.3%
Fair value: $12.54

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.2%

FCF CAGR

-27.7%

FCF margin

2.9%

FCF / Net income

0.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.36B · net income $148.0M · FCF $97.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.0%+0.5% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-0.6% pts

Net margin

4.4%-2.7% pts

FCF margin

2.9%-8.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.36B$3.36B$2.79B$2.01B$2.38B
Net Income$148.0M$148.0M$122.8M$106.5M$167.9M
EBITDA$195.5M$195.5M$166.4M$142.0M$230.1M
EPS0.640.640.530.460.72
Gross Margin14.0%14.0%13.6%15.0%13.5%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%4.5%4.8%5.3%
Net Margin4.4%4.4%4.4%5.3%7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.050.030.01
Current Ratio1.891.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$97.9M$97.9M$-39.3M$41.3M$259.3M
Returns
ROE12.2%12.2%10.5%9.5%14.9%
Valuation
P/E24.1224.1219.8531.2023.40
EV/EBITDA10.6610.6610.0319.1514.57
P/B2.382.382.092.963.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.5%20.5%39.0%-15.6%—
EPS Growth20.8%20.8%15.2%-36.1%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.11

Spread vs growth

0.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.35

Spread vs growth

4.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.17

Spread vs growth

7.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.7%

Total return

-27.7%

Start / end P/E

34.1x → 19.6x

EPS bridge

0.53 → 0.64

Residual

-8.8%

EPS growth+20.8%
Multiple rerating-42.5%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.