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301045.SZ$52.80+3.25%
Fair $52.80+0.0%

301045.SZ

Talant Optronics (Suzhou) Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$52.80

+1.66 (+3.25%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $52.80Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-98.6M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 4/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301045.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Talant Optronics (Suzhou) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.8B

P/E

160.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

85.7x

↑

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

22.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$53
$20$65

TradingView lightweight chart

301045.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $51.14Periodo +29.7%
Fair value: $52.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-17.0%

FCF / Net income

-3.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $581.2M · net income $32.5M · FCF $-98.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.8%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

4.9%+1.3% pts

Net margin

5.6%+1.4% pts

FCF margin

-17.0%-29.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$581.2M$581.2M$654.1M$596.4M$653.0M
Net Income$32.5M$32.5M$27.1M$8.8M$27.2M
EBITDA$65.8M$65.8M$55.6M$34.7M$52.7M
EPS0.290.290.250.090.26
Gross Margin22.8%22.8%19.2%17.5%18.8%
Operating Margin4.9%4.9%3.7%1.2%3.6%
Net Margin5.6%5.6%4.1%1.5%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.120.050.05
Current Ratio4.884.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-98.6M$-98.6M$-179.8M$-31.0M$81.3M
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%2.7%0.9%3.2%
Valuation
P/E160.00160.0083.60293.4464.88
EV/EBITDA85.7285.7236.6665.4929.13
P/B5.745.742.282.642.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.1%-11.1%9.7%-8.7%—
EPS Growth16.0%16.0%177.8%-65.4%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

152.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.69

Spread vs growth

-136.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

81.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.67

Spread vs growth

-65.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

41.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.13

Spread vs growth

-25.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +144.0%

Total return

+144.0%

Start / end P/E

86.6x → 182.1x

EPS bridge

0.25 → 0.29

Residual

+17.6%

EPS growth+16.0%
Multiple rerating+110.1%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+17.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.