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301055.SZ$32.99-3.74%
Fair $32.99+0.0%

301055.SZ

Zhang Xiaoquan Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesShenzhen

$32.99

-1.28 (-3.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.99Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 69/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $89.5M · quality 84.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 83/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

69/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301055.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhang Xiaoquan Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.1B

P/E

71.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

48.4x

↑

ROE

8.2%

↑

Gross Margin

37.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$33
$17$42

TradingView lightweight chart

301055.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.99Periodo -3.2%
Fair value: $32.99

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.3%

FCF CAGR

+24.0%

FCF margin

13.1%

FCF / Net income

2.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.02B · net income $55.1M · FCF $133.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.3%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

7.8%+0.5% pts

Net margin

5.4%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

13.1%+4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.02B$1.02B$907.8M$811.5M$826.6M
Net Income$55.1M$55.1M$25.0M$25.1M$41.5M
EBITDA$99.4M$99.4M$75.2M$78.4M$97.8M
EPS0.360.360.160.160.27
Gross Margin37.3%37.3%36.3%35.6%36.3%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%5.5%4.7%7.4%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%2.8%3.1%5.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.040.02
Current Ratio1.651.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$133.9M$133.9M$89.5M$89.2M$70.3M
Returns
ROE8.2%8.2%3.9%3.7%6.0%
Valuation
P/E71.7271.7290.9490.9457.52
EV/EBITDA48.4048.4027.3227.0022.71
P/B7.517.513.593.403.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.6%12.6%11.9%-1.8%—
EPS Growth125.0%125.0%0.0%-40.7%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

101.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.93

Spread vs growth

23.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

58.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.54

Spread vs growth

67.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.70

Spread vs growth

93.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +79.9%

Total return

+79.9%

Start / end P/E

114.8x → 91.6x

EPS bridge

0.16 → 0.36

Residual

-25.2%

EPS growth+125.0%
Multiple rerating-20.2%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.