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301056.SZ$12.83-2.88%
Fair $12.83+0.0%

301056.SZ

Sicher Elevator Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$12.83

-0.38 (-2.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.83Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $104.6M · quality 63.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 301056.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Sicher Elevator Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

49.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

32.8x

↑

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

33.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$13
$9$19

TradingView lightweight chart

301056.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.21Periodo -10.9%
Fair value: $12.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.4%

FCF CAGR

+6.2%

FCF margin

17.3%

FCF / Net income

1.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $556.0M · net income $74.9M · FCF $96.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.3%+5.0% pts

Operating margin

13.1%+6.4% pts

Net margin

13.5%+6.1% pts

FCF margin

17.3%+5.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$556.0M$556.0M$716.3M$723.6M$678.0M
Net Income$74.9M$74.9M$96.8M$90.5M$50.3M
EBITDA$99.1M$99.1M$123.1M$119.1M$73.9M
EPS0.280.280.360.340.19
Gross Margin33.3%33.3%33.1%31.4%28.3%
Operating Margin13.1%13.1%14.1%12.4%6.7%
Net Margin13.5%13.5%13.5%12.5%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.000.02
Current Ratio1.701.70———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$96.1M$96.1M$104.6M$192.1M$80.2M
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%11.1%11.0%6.7%
Valuation
P/E49.3549.3521.1929.8241.05
EV/EBITDA32.7732.7714.2516.3220.08
P/B4.384.382.363.272.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-22.4%-22.4%-1.0%6.7%—
EPS Growth-22.2%-22.2%5.9%78.9%—
Dividend Yield4.5%4.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

59.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.14

Spread vs growth

-81.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.38

Spread vs growth

-59.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.22

Spread vs growth

-45.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +44.1%

Total return

+44.1%

Start / end P/E

25.5x → 45.8x

EPS bridge

0.36 → 0.28

Residual

-17.7%

EPS growth-22.2%
Multiple rerating+79.5%
Dividend+4.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.