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301063.SZ$20.22-2.37%
Fair $20.22+0.0%

301063.SZ

Zhangjiagang Haiguo New Energy Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Metal FabricationShenzhen

$20.22

-0.49 (-2.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.22Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-143.0M · quality 72.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301063.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhangjiagang Haiguo New Energy Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

56.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.2x

↑

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

10.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$20
$20$36

TradingView lightweight chart

301063.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.22Periodo -60.8%
Fair value: $20.22

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.4%

FCF / Net income

-3.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.88B · net income $51.2M · FCF $-157.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.8%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-5.1% pts

Net margin

2.7%-4.0% pts

FCF margin

-8.4%+3.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.88B$1.88B$1.34B$1.26B$1.35B
Net Income$51.2M$51.2M$33.4M$55.8M$91.7M
EBITDA$145.8M$145.8M$99.1M$114.8M$142.0M
EPS0.500.500.330.591.09
Gross Margin10.8%10.8%9.6%13.6%15.7%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%2.2%6.3%9.1%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%2.5%4.4%6.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.190.160.27
Current Ratio1.791.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-157.2M$-157.2M$-108.0M$-143.0M$-154.8M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%2.2%3.6%9.1%
Valuation
P/E56.1756.1744.5837.8033.80
EV/EBITDA14.1814.1813.3215.9022.32
P/B1.321.320.971.373.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth40.4%40.4%6.2%-7.0%—
EPS Growth51.5%51.5%-44.1%-45.9%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

53.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.79

Spread vs growth

-1.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.17

Spread vs growth

17.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.50

Spread vs growth

30.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.5%

Total return

-19.5%

Start / end P/E

76.8x → 40.4x

EPS bridge

0.33 → 0.50

Residual

-24.4%

EPS growth+51.5%
Multiple rerating-47.4%
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-24.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.