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301073.SZ$22.14-4.45%
Fair $22.14+0.0%

301073.SZ

SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingShenzhen

$22.14

-1.03 (-4.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $22.14Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $155.9M · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301073.SZLocal privado en este navegador · SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.3B

P/E

158.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

21.8x

↑

ROE

2.6%

↓

Gross Margin

31.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.46

↑
52-Week Range$22
$20$35

TradingView lightweight chart

301073.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $22.14Periodo +73.9%
Fair value: $22.14

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.3%

FCF CAGR

+106.6%

FCF margin

35.0%

FCF / Net income

10.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $673.1M · net income $23.1M · FCF $235.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.3%-4.7% pts

Operating margin

12.8%-6.3% pts

Net margin

3.4%-5.3% pts

FCF margin

35.0%+27.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$673.1M$673.1M$675.8M$534.0M$341.9M
Net Income$23.1M$23.1M$25.2M$30.5M$29.7M
EBITDA$238.6M$238.6M$234.6M$219.7M$130.6M
EPS0.120.120.130.160.18
Gross Margin31.3%31.3%32.7%39.7%36.0%
Operating Margin12.8%12.8%13.7%17.4%19.1%
Net Margin3.4%3.4%3.7%5.7%8.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.461.461.441.270.92
Current Ratio1.811.81———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$235.9M$235.9M$155.9M$45.4M$26.8M
Returns
ROE2.6%2.6%2.6%3.1%3.1%
Valuation
P/E158.14158.14148.77141.88250.78
EV/EBITDA21.8221.8220.2523.1458.79
P/B4.854.853.854.437.66
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.4%-0.4%26.6%56.2%—
EPS Growth-7.7%-7.7%-18.8%-11.1%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

153.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.96

Spread vs growth

-161.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

81.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.38

Spread vs growth

-89.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

41.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.83

Spread vs growth

-49.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.7%

Total return

+1.7%

Start / end P/E

169.1x → 184.5x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 0.12

Residual

-0.7%

EPS growth-7.7%
Multiple rerating+9.1%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.