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301099.SZ$71.47+10.40%
Fair $71.47+0.0%

301099.SZ

Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.,Ltd

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$71.47

+6.73 (+10.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $71.47Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-142.5M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301099.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Yct Electronics Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.5B

P/E

54.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

37.4x

↑

ROE

9.3%

↑

Gross Margin

12.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.75

↑
52-Week Range$71
$32$74

TradingView lightweight chart

301099.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $71.47Periodo +96.2%
Fair value: $71.47

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+44.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.9%

FCF / Net income

-2.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.61B · net income $126.1M · FCF $-324.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.8%-7.7% pts

Operating margin

4.3%-6.7% pts

Net margin

1.9%-5.1% pts

FCF margin

-4.9%+8.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.61B$6.61B$3.61B$2.47B$2.20B
Net Income$126.1M$126.1M$124.0M$53.3M$154.2M
EBITDA$315.8M$315.8M$272.4M$144.8M$237.3M
EPS0.900.900.930.391.14
Gross Margin12.8%12.8%17.9%17.9%20.4%
Operating Margin4.3%4.3%7.2%6.9%11.0%
Net Margin1.9%1.9%3.4%2.2%7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.751.751.290.920.56
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-324.9M$-324.9M$-74.5M$-142.5M$-285.1M
Returns
ROE9.3%9.3%10.0%4.9%15.7%
Valuation
P/E54.1454.1431.8571.1936.65
EV/EBITDA37.4237.4218.4529.9525.25
P/B7.417.413.183.485.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth83.2%83.2%46.1%12.1%—
EPS Growth-3.2%-3.2%137.1%-65.6%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

91.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.34

Spread vs growth

-94.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

53.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.67

Spread vs growth

-56.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$12.36

Spread vs growth

-33.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +101.7%

Total return

+101.7%

Start / end P/E

38.2x → 79.4x

EPS bridge

0.93 → 0.90

Residual

-3.5%

EPS growth-3.2%
Multiple rerating+108.1%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.