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301116.SZ$9.75-3.47%
Fair $9.75+0.0%

301116.SZ

Jiangsu Yike Food Group Co.,Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsShenzhen

$9.75

-0.35 (-3.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.75Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $182.4M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -18.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301116.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Yike Food Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

23.3x

↑

ROE

-18.3%

↓

Gross Margin

2.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.25

↑
52-Week Range$10
$9$15

TradingView lightweight chart

301116.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.10Periodo -71.6%
Fair value: $9.750

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.8%

FCF / Net income

0.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.96B · net income $-279.8M · FCF $-154.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.4%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

-0.2%-1.3% pts

Net margin

-1.5%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

-0.8%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.96B$18.96B$20.84B$21.89B$18.71B
Net Income$-279.8M$-279.8M$100.2M$-171.0M$52.2M
EBITDA$259.0M$259.0M$676.6M$277.6M$431.9M
EPS-0.62-0.620.22-0.380.12
Gross Margin2.4%2.4%4.4%2.2%3.0%
Operating Margin-0.2%-0.2%1.9%0.2%1.1%
Net Margin-1.5%-1.5%0.5%-0.8%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.251.250.931.110.87
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-154.3M$-154.3M$366.9M$182.4M$-517.0M
Returns
ROE-18.3%-18.3%5.7%-9.7%2.7%
Valuation
P/E——52.68—137.83
EV/EBITDA23.3023.309.8425.5219.80
P/B2.882.882.993.203.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.0%-9.0%-4.8%17.0%—
EPS Growth-381.8%-381.8%157.9%-416.7%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.9%

Total return

-16.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.22 → -0.62

Residual

-18.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-18.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.