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301130.SZ$28.52-1.31%
Fair $28.52+0.0%

301130.SZ

Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech Development Co.,Ltd

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericShenzhen

$28.52

-0.38 (-1.31%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $28.52Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-68.8M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301130.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jilin Province Xidian Pharmaceutical Sci-Tech Development Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.2B

P/E

95.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

38.0x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↑

Gross Margin

76.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$29
$27$37

TradingView lightweight chart

301130.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28.52Periodo -50.0%
Fair value: $28.52

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $234.8M · net income $21.9M · FCF $-17.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

76.3%-5.4% pts

Operating margin

7.3%-8.3% pts

Net margin

9.3%-6.6% pts

FCF margin

-7.4%-12.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$234.8M$234.8M$256.4M$225.5M$255.5M
Net Income$21.9M$21.9M$40.3M$50.5M$40.7M
EBITDA$56.9M$56.9M$69.1M$77.0M$58.4M
EPS0.290.290.520.630.53
Gross Margin76.3%76.3%76.5%80.3%81.6%
Operating Margin7.3%7.3%15.9%16.7%15.6%
Net Margin9.3%9.3%15.7%22.4%15.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.00—
Current Ratio3.883.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-17.4M$-17.4M$-80.7M$-68.8M$12.8M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%4.4%5.1%4.3%
Valuation
P/E95.0795.0747.8644.6955.89
EV/EBITDA38.0438.0425.2824.9935.49
P/B2.412.412.132.302.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.4%-8.4%13.7%-11.7%—
EPS Growth-44.7%-44.7%-17.2%18.8%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

106.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.53

Spread vs growth

-151.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

60.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.06

Spread vs growth

-105.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

32.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.93

Spread vs growth

-77.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.2%

Total return

+2.2%

Start / end P/E

54.2x → 99.6x

EPS bridge

0.52 → 0.29

Residual

-37.4%

EPS growth-44.7%
Multiple rerating+83.7%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.