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301133.SZ$42.18-2.92%
Fair $42.18+0.0%

301133.SZ

Guangzhou Jinzhong Auto Parts Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$42.18

-1.19 (-2.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $42.18Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-327.1M · quality 53.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -0.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301133.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Jinzhong Auto Parts Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

70.5x

↑

ROE

-0.6%

↓

Gross Margin

17.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.50

↑
52-Week Range$42
$21$51

TradingView lightweight chart

301133.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $39.54Periodo -30.5%
Fair value: $42.18

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-35.8%

FCF / Net income

53.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.13B · net income $-7.5M · FCF $-403.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.9%-1.7% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-3.9% pts

Net margin

-0.7%-7.8% pts

FCF margin

-35.8%-22.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.13B$1.13B$1.13B$926.1M$729.2M
Net Income$-7.5M$-7.5M$85.6M$90.9M$52.3M
EBITDA$68.8M$68.8M$136.0M$136.2M$86.5M
EPS-0.07-0.070.800.860.49
Gross Margin17.9%17.9%22.4%25.5%19.6%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%9.3%11.8%6.3%
Net Margin-0.7%-0.7%7.5%9.8%7.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.500.500.460.280.09
Current Ratio1.691.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-403.8M$-403.8M$-327.1M$-23.6M$-97.7M
Returns
ROE-0.6%-0.6%7.7%8.8%6.3%
Valuation
P/E——25.1731.4044.76
EV/EBITDA70.5270.5216.6219.3924.37
P/B3.483.481.932.752.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.6%-0.6%22.5%27.0%—
EPS Growth-108.8%-108.8%-7.0%75.5%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +73.2%

Total return

+73.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.80 → -0.07

Residual

+72.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+72.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.