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301152.SZ$26.85+1.50%
Fair $26.85+0.0%

301152.SZ

Tianli Lithium Energy Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsShenzhen

$26.85

+0.41 (+1.50%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $26.85Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-98.3M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -16.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301152.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Tianli Lithium Energy Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-16.8%

↓

Gross Margin

4.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$27
$23$43

TradingView lightweight chart

301152.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.72Periodo -59.6%
Fair value: $26.85

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.20B · net income $-201.5M · FCF $36.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.5%-7.7% pts

Operating margin

-2.3%-9.4% pts

Net margin

-9.1%-14.1% pts

FCF margin

1.7%+46.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.20B$2.20B$1.75B$2.44B$2.62B
Net Income$-201.5M$-201.5M$-466.1M$-501.7M$130.8M
EBITDA$-90.3M$-90.3M$-398.3M$-464.9M$203.5M
EPS-1.70-1.70-3.86-4.111.29
Gross Margin4.5%4.5%-2.9%-6.8%12.2%
Operating Margin-2.3%-2.3%-14.0%-13.0%7.1%
Net Margin-9.1%-9.1%-26.6%-20.5%5.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.620.280.28
Current Ratio1.201.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$36.9M$36.9M$-407.2M$-98.3M$-1.17B
Returns
ROE-16.8%-16.8%-33.3%-25.8%5.2%
Valuation
P/E————38.34
EV/EBITDA————26.53
P/B2.652.652.492.222.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.7%25.7%-28.2%-6.7%—
EPS Growth56.0%56.0%6.1%-418.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.9%

Total return

+14.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.86 → -1.70

Residual

+14.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+14.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.