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301191.SZ$145.27-7.47%
Fair $145.27+0.0%

301191.SZ

Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Communication EquipmentShenzhen

$145.27

-11.40 (-7.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $145.27Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 1/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $204.3M · quality 54.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301191.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.1B

P/E

135.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

70.5x

↑

ROE

3.9%

↓

Gross Margin

13.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$145
$73$190

TradingView lightweight chart

301191.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $141.20Periodo +103.9%
Fair value: $145.27

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.3%

FCF / Net income

-3.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.77B · net income $64.9M · FCF $-200.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.2%-2.3% pts

Operating margin

2.0%-6.8% pts

Net margin

3.7%-4.7% pts

FCF margin

-11.3%-18.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.77B$1.77B$1.68B$2.07B$2.35B
Net Income$64.9M$64.9M$117.5M$144.4M$196.0M
EBITDA$125.9M$125.9M$191.3M$224.1M$274.9M
EPS0.940.941.692.083.16
Gross Margin13.2%13.2%17.0%16.4%15.5%
Operating Margin2.0%2.0%5.6%7.2%8.8%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%7.0%7.0%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.050.060.06
Current Ratio2.232.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-200.3M$-200.3M$204.3M$208.1M$163.6M
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%6.8%8.6%12.4%
Valuation
P/E135.77135.7748.5140.4718.45
EV/EBITDA70.5070.5025.2422.039.08
P/B5.975.973.323.502.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.7%5.7%-19.1%-11.8%—
EPS Growth-44.4%-44.4%-18.8%-34.2%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

139.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$12.89

Spread vs growth

-183.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

75.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$15.60

Spread vs growth

-119.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

38.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$25.12

Spread vs growth

-83.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +81.1%

Total return

+81.1%

Start / end P/E

46.3x → 150.2x

EPS bridge

1.69 → 0.94

Residual

-99.6%

EPS growth-44.4%
Multiple rerating+224.3%
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-99.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.