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301197.SZ$31.22+5.22%
Fair $31.22+0.0%

301197.SZ

Hebei Gongda Keya Technology Group Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationShenzhen

$31.22

+1.56 (+5.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $31.22Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-13.1M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 4/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301197.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hebei Gongda Keya Technology Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.8B

P/E

156.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

53.1x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

40.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$31
$16$42

TradingView lightweight chart

301197.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $31.44Periodo -16.1%
Fair value: $31.22

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $463.0M · net income $31.7M · FCF $-13.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.3%-6.6% pts

Operating margin

16.3%-5.0% pts

Net margin

6.8%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

-2.8%+36.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$463.0M$463.0M$395.5M$357.9M$312.5M
Net Income$31.7M$31.7M$55.7M$56.7M$40.5M
EBITDA$61.0M$61.0M$84.6M$77.7M$55.9M
EPS0.270.270.470.470.40
Gross Margin40.3%40.3%47.7%45.3%46.9%
Operating Margin16.3%16.3%22.5%21.1%21.3%
Net Margin6.8%6.8%14.1%15.8%13.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.130.080.01
Current Ratio5.235.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.1M$-13.1M$12.6M$-74.6M$-123.3M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%4.1%4.2%3.1%
Valuation
P/E156.10156.1029.0239.6452.75
EV/EBITDA53.1153.1113.6322.2231.18
P/B2.752.751.181.661.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.1%17.1%10.5%14.5%—
EPS Growth-42.6%-42.6%0.0%17.5%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

117.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.77

Spread vs growth

-159.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

65.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.35

Spread vs growth

-108.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

34.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.40

Spread vs growth

-77.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +94.5%

Total return

+94.5%

Start / end P/E

34.4x → 116.4x

EPS bridge

0.47 → 0.27

Residual

-101.3%

EPS growth-42.6%
Multiple rerating+238.0%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-101.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.