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301215.SZ$5.88+0.68%
Fair $5.88+0.0%

301215.SZ

CATARC Automotive Proving Ground Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsShenzhen

$5.88

+0.04 (+0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.88Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-123.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 1/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301215.SZLocal privado en este navegador · CATARC Automotive Proving Ground Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.8B

P/E

36.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

21.1x

↑

ROE

7.3%

↑

Gross Margin

63.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

301215.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.880Periodo -48.4%
Fair value: $5.880

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+21.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

20.7%

FCF / Net income

0.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $577.8M · net income $212.7M · FCF $119.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

63.7%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

41.5%-3.4% pts

Net margin

36.8%-7.0% pts

FCF margin

20.7%+62.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$577.8M$577.8M$517.1M$356.7M$324.7M
Net Income$212.7M$212.7M$174.6M$165.0M$142.3M
EBITDA$364.9M$364.9M$292.2M$258.6M$234.3M
EPS0.160.160.130.120.11
Gross Margin63.7%63.7%60.8%72.5%69.0%
Operating Margin41.5%41.5%39.0%48.0%44.8%
Net Margin36.8%36.8%33.8%46.2%43.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.00—
Current Ratio2.542.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$119.4M$119.4M$-123.2M$-169.8M$-136.3M
Returns
ROE7.3%7.3%5.9%5.8%5.2%
Valuation
P/E36.7536.7542.8549.7548.18
EV/EBITDA21.1021.1024.9531.1328.57
P/B2.672.672.542.912.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.7%11.7%45.0%9.9%—
EPS Growth23.1%23.1%8.3%9.1%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.52

Spread vs growth

-25.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.63

Spread vs growth

-8.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.02

Spread vs growth

2.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.7%

Total return

-0.7%

Start / end P/E

46.8x → 36.8x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 0.16

Residual

-4.9%

EPS growth+23.1%
Multiple rerating-21.4%
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.