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301223.SZ$17.73+3.56%
Fair $17.73+0.0%

301223.SZ

ZRP Printing Group Co., Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersShenzhen

$17.73

+0.61 (+3.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.73Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $74.4M · quality 51.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301223.SZLocal privado en este navegador · ZRP Printing Group Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

21.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

↓

ROE

5.1%

↑

Gross Margin

20.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$18
$16$21

TradingView lightweight chart

301223.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.73Periodo -27.7%
Fair value: $17.73

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.6%

FCF CAGR

+7.5%

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

1.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.17B · net income $153.4M · FCF $241.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.0%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

7.2%-3.0% pts

Net margin

4.8%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

7.6%-0.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.17B$3.17B$2.78B$2.59B$2.47B
Net Income$153.4M$153.4M$143.6M$204.0M$213.4M
EBITDA$398.4M$398.4M$339.2M$365.2M$382.1M
EPS0.800.800.741.061.40
Gross Margin20.0%20.0%18.3%20.9%22.4%
Operating Margin7.2%7.2%5.9%8.6%10.2%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%5.2%7.9%8.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.040.010.01
Current Ratio2.082.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$241.2M$241.2M$74.4M$-89.5M$194.0M
Returns
ROE5.1%5.1%4.9%7.1%7.9%
Valuation
P/E21.6221.6220.8217.2113.79
EV/EBITDA7.267.266.696.544.15
P/B1.141.141.021.231.09
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.8%13.8%7.3%4.8%—
EPS Growth8.1%8.1%-30.2%-24.3%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.57

Spread vs growth

-17.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.90

Spread vs growth

-10.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.07

Spread vs growth

-6.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.0%

Total return

+14.0%

Start / end P/E

21.4x → 22.2x

EPS bridge

0.74 → 0.80

Residual

+0.3%

EPS growth+8.1%
Multiple rerating+3.7%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.