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301258.SZ$26.45-2.69%
Fair $26.45+0.0%

301258.SZ

Suzhou Fushilai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyShenzhen

$26.45

-0.73 (-2.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $26.45Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-58.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301258.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Suzhou Fushilai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

63.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.6x

↑

ROE

3.4%

↑

Gross Margin

16.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$26
$26$39

TradingView lightweight chart

301258.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $26.45Periodo -60.2%
Fair value: $26.45

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-18.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $432.7M · net income $64.3M · FCF $-79.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.7%-28.5% pts

Operating margin

-1.9%-32.0% pts

Net margin

14.9%-16.3% pts

FCF margin

-18.5%-36.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$432.7M$432.7M$429.5M$489.3M$568.2M
Net Income$64.3M$64.3M$16.4M$112.2M$177.3M
EBITDA$122.9M$122.9M$67.3M$185.3M$254.6M
EPS0.710.710.181.222.06
Gross Margin16.7%16.7%19.6%38.4%45.2%
Operating Margin-1.9%-1.9%-0.3%19.7%30.2%
Net Margin14.9%14.9%3.8%22.9%31.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio10.3610.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-79.9M$-79.9M$-58.2M$53.1M$101.1M
Returns
ROE3.4%3.4%0.9%5.8%9.4%
Valuation
P/E62.9862.98124.2225.7819.81
EV/EBITDA16.5516.5526.9513.7312.78
P/B1.281.281.081.491.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.8%0.8%-12.2%-13.9%—
EPS Growth294.4%294.4%-85.2%-40.8%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

49.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.35

Spread vs growth

245.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.84

Spread vs growth

262.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.57

Spread vs growth

274.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.9%

Total return

-18.9%

Start / end P/E

182.9x → 37.3x

EPS bridge

0.18 → 0.71

Residual

-234.5%

EPS growth+294.4%
Multiple rerating-79.6%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-234.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.