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301262.SZ$21.28-3.36%
Fair $21.28+0.0%

301262.SZ

Hicon Network Technology (Shandong) Co.,Ltd.

Communication Services / BroadcastingShenzhen

$21.28

-0.74 (-3.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.28Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $380.8M · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 301262.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hicon Network Technology (Shandong) Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.9B

P/E

22.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.0x

↑

ROE

11.2%

↑

Gross Margin

55.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$21
$21$39

TradingView lightweight chart

301262.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.28Periodo -43.3%
Fair value: $21.28

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.8%

FCF CAGR

+12.6%

FCF margin

41.9%

FCF / Net income

0.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $938.6M · net income $415.0M · FCF $393.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.4%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

43.6%+0.2% pts

Net margin

44.2%+3.7% pts

FCF margin

41.9%+14.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$938.6M$938.6M$978.7M$992.3M$1.02B
Net Income$415.0M$415.0M$400.3M$410.0M$414.0M
EBITDA$504.6M$504.6M$451.0M$493.6M$460.8M
EPS1.001.000.961.041.10
Gross Margin55.4%55.4%56.1%55.8%53.9%
Operating Margin43.6%43.6%44.2%42.9%43.4%
Net Margin44.2%44.2%40.9%41.3%40.6%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio9.049.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$393.6M$393.6M$152.1M$380.8M$275.7M
Returns
ROE11.2%11.2%10.8%12.0%18.8%
Valuation
P/E22.6422.6423.9128.84—
EV/EBITDA14.0514.0518.8821.49—
P/B2.372.372.583.45—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.1%-4.1%-1.4%-2.8%—
EPS Growth4.2%4.2%-7.7%-5.5%—
Dividend Yield4.4%4.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.89

Spread vs growth

-19.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.28

Spread vs growth

-13.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.68

Spread vs growth

-9.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.0%

Total return

-5.0%

Start / end P/E

24.5x → 21.3x

EPS bridge

0.96 → 1.00

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growth+4.2%
Multiple rerating-13.0%
Dividend+4.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.