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301278.SZ$34.60-3.19%
Fair $34.60+0.0%

301278.SZ

QC Solar Corporation

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$34.60

-1.14 (-3.19%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $34.60Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-12.9M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301278.SZLocal privado en este navegador · QC Solar Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

203.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

60.6x

↑

ROE

1.4%

↓

Gross Margin

8.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$35
$31$51

TradingView lightweight chart

301278.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $35.74Periodo -63.7%
Fair value: $34.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.8%

FCF / Net income

-6.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.08B · net income $20.4M · FCF $-127.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.9%-9.8% pts

Operating margin

1.8%-10.7% pts

Net margin

1.9%-8.9% pts

FCF margin

-11.8%-16.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.08B$1.08B$903.4M$1.28B$1.10B
Net Income$20.4M$20.4M$99.0M$193.6M$118.4M
EBITDA$48.8M$48.8M$127.0M$232.3M$146.9M
EPS0.230.231.192.331.63
Gross Margin8.9%8.9%17.8%23.3%18.7%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%10.3%15.5%12.5%
Net Margin1.9%1.9%11.0%15.1%10.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.09—0.000.01
Current Ratio1.971.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-127.6M$-127.6M$-12.9M$149.9M$47.9M
Returns
ROE1.4%1.4%7.8%16.3%11.8%
Valuation
P/E203.53203.5326.9923.2155.40
EV/EBITDA60.5860.5819.9317.8243.48
P/B2.162.162.113.796.53
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.0%20.0%-29.7%16.9%—
EPS Growth-80.7%-80.7%-48.9%42.9%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

137.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.07

Spread vs growth

-217.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

74.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.71

Spread vs growth

-155.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

38.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.98

Spread vs growth

-119.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.0%

Total return

+3.0%

Start / end P/E

28.6x → 150.4x

EPS bridge

1.19 → 0.23

Residual

-343.5%

EPS growth-80.7%
Multiple rerating+425.7%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-343.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.