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301317.SZ$65.49+3.79%
Fair $65.49+0.0%

301317.SZ

Xinlei Compressor Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$65.49

+2.39 (+3.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $65.49Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 63/B
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-360.0M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

63/100

B

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301317.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Xinlei Compressor Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.3B

P/E

35.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.0x

↑

ROE

22.6%

↑

Gross Margin

22.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$65
$29$88

TradingView lightweight chart

301317.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $63.10Periodo +129.9%
Fair value: $65.49

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-40.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $888.2M · net income $281.2M · FCF $-360.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.7%-5.0% pts

Operating margin

-0.3%-13.1% pts

Net margin

31.7%+20.9% pts

FCF margin

-40.5%-48.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$888.2M$888.2M$927.2M$778.3M$712.4M
Net Income$281.2M$281.2M$52.4M$61.9M$76.9M
EBITDA$444.9M$444.9M$98.6M$101.6M$117.1M
EPS1.841.840.330.400.65
Gross Margin22.7%22.7%26.2%23.9%27.6%
Operating Margin-0.3%-0.3%7.7%5.4%12.8%
Net Margin31.7%31.7%5.6%8.0%10.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.150.01—
Current Ratio1.181.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-360.0M$-360.0M$-673.9M$-200.9M$59.3M
Returns
ROE22.6%22.6%5.0%5.5%19.0%
Valuation
P/E35.5935.5955.5247.75—
EV/EBITDA23.0323.0327.9120.88—
P/B8.068.062.782.64—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.2%-4.2%19.1%9.3%—
EPS Growth457.6%457.6%-17.5%-38.5%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

46.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.81

Spread vs growth

410.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.03

Spread vs growth

426.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.32

Spread vs growth

437.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +84.3%

Total return

+84.3%

Start / end P/E

108.2x → 35.6x

EPS bridge

0.33 → 1.84

Residual

-307.1%

EPS growth+457.6%
Multiple rerating-67.1%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-307.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.