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301318.SZ$22.42-1.67%
Fair $22.42+0.0%

301318.SZ

ValueHD Corporation

Technology / Communication EquipmentShenzhen

$22.42

-0.38 (-1.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $22.42Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $71.8M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301318.SZLocal privado en este navegador · ValueHD Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

62.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.6x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

43.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$22
$22$39

TradingView lightweight chart

301318.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $22.80Periodo -39.9%
Fair value: $22.42

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.9%

FCF CAGR

+9.1%

FCF margin

15.7%

FCF / Net income

1.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $718.1M · net income $85.4M · FCF $112.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.5%-1.2% pts

Operating margin

11.3%-9.4% pts

Net margin

11.9%-9.2% pts

FCF margin

15.7%+1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$718.1M$718.1M$670.8M$488.1M$604.6M
Net Income$85.4M$85.4M$124.3M$82.2M$127.3M
EBITDA$119.1M$119.1M$159.9M$106.3M$156.5M
EPS0.640.640.920.611.69
Gross Margin43.5%43.5%46.8%44.4%44.7%
Operating Margin11.3%11.3%13.0%8.9%20.8%
Net Margin11.9%11.9%18.5%16.8%21.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.030.020.03
Current Ratio12.5812.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$112.4M$112.4M$51.7M$71.8M$86.5M
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%6.8%4.7%7.5%
Valuation
P/E62.2862.2829.0542.7413.38
EV/EBITDA19.6319.6319.7128.118.55
P/B1.591.591.972.001.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%37.4%-19.3%—
EPS Growth-30.4%-30.4%50.8%-64.0%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

45.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.99

Spread vs growth

-76.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.41

Spread vs growth

-60.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.88

Spread vs growth

-50.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.6%

Total return

-25.6%

Start / end P/E

33.5x → 35.0x

EPS bridge

0.92 → 0.64

Residual

-1.4%

EPS growth-30.4%
Multiple rerating+4.6%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.