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301323.SZ$77.83-3.08%
Fair $77.83+0.0%

301323.SZ

Guangzhou Newlife New Material CO., LTD

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$77.83

-2.47 (-3.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $77.83Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-26.7M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 301323.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Newlife New Material CO., LTD
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.2B

P/E

55.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

43.9x

↑

ROE

6.3%

↑

Gross Margin

35.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$78
$40$97

TradingView lightweight chart

301323.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $77.83Periodo +44.2%
Fair value: $77.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $977.4M · net income $138.3M · FCF $-51.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.0%+0.0% pts

Operating margin

13.0%-5.0% pts

Net margin

14.1%-3.7% pts

FCF margin

-5.3%-26.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$977.4M$977.4M$886.4M$771.2M$714.9M
Net Income$138.3M$138.3M$145.2M$138.1M$127.9M
EBITDA$179.1M$179.1M$191.1M$183.7M$166.9M
EPS1.321.321.381.471.63
Gross Margin35.0%35.0%37.4%36.3%35.0%
Operating Margin13.0%13.0%14.6%17.5%18.0%
Net Margin14.1%14.1%16.4%17.9%17.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.01
Current Ratio11.4611.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-51.8M$-51.8M$-26.7M$68.4M$152.6M
Returns
ROE6.3%6.3%6.9%6.9%14.1%
Valuation
P/E55.2055.2026.3524.79—
EV/EBITDA43.9243.9218.7516.62—
P/B3.703.701.831.71—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.3%10.3%14.9%7.9%—
EPS Growth-4.3%-4.3%-6.1%-9.8%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

73.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.91

Spread vs growth

-77.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

44.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.36

Spread vs growth

-49.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.46

Spread vs growth

-30.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +81.6%

Total return

+81.6%

Start / end P/E

31.2x → 59.0x

EPS bridge

1.38 → 1.32

Residual

-3.9%

EPS growth-4.3%
Multiple rerating+88.9%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.