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301330.SZ$27.60+1.47%
Fair $27.60+0.0%

301330.SZ

Zkteco Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Security & Protection ServicesShenzhen

$27.60

+0.40 (+1.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.60Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $53.8M · quality 54.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 40/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301330.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zkteco Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

33.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.4x

↑

ROE

6.2%

↑

Gross Margin

50.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$28
$24$51

TradingView lightweight chart

301330.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.60Periodo -34.6%
Fair value: $27.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.6%

FCF CAGR

+72.5%

FCF margin

11.3%

FCF / Net income

1.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.13B · net income $214.7M · FCF $241.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

50.1%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

12.7%+2.5% pts

Net margin

10.1%+0.0% pts

FCF margin

11.3%+8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.13B$2.13B$1.99B$1.97B$1.92B
Net Income$214.7M$214.7M$183.0M$177.3M$192.5M
EBITDA$349.0M$349.0M$287.5M$281.4M$270.4M
EPS0.910.910.790.760.94
Gross Margin50.1%50.1%49.4%49.0%44.5%
Operating Margin12.7%12.7%9.7%8.9%10.2%
Net Margin10.1%10.1%9.2%9.0%10.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.020.010.02
Current Ratio2.732.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$241.4M$241.4M$30.6M$53.8M$47.0M
Returns
ROE6.2%6.2%5.5%5.4%6.3%
Valuation
P/E33.6633.6631.4340.4427.83
EV/EBITDA15.3915.3915.0918.5712.96
P/B1.861.861.722.201.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%1.1%2.7%—
EPS Growth15.6%15.6%4.0%-19.0%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

38.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.45

Spread vs growth

-23.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

26.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.96

Spread vs growth

-10.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.77

Spread vs growth

-2.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.4%

Total return

-6.4%

Start / end P/E

38.0x → 30.2x

EPS bridge

0.79 → 0.91

Residual

-3.2%

EPS growth+15.6%
Multiple rerating-20.5%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.