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301388.SZ$29.20+3.29%
Fair $29.20+0.0%

301388.SZ

Xinling Electrical CO., LTD.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsShenzhen

$29.20

+0.93 (+3.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $29.20Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-12.6M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301388.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Xinling Electrical CO., LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

132.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

40.8x

↑

ROE

2.2%

↓

Gross Margin

22.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$29
$22$44

TradingView lightweight chart

301388.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $29.20Periodo -13.3%
Fair value: $29.20

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $476.6M · net income $21.2M · FCF $4.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.6%-4.0% pts

Operating margin

5.3%-9.1% pts

Net margin

4.4%-8.1% pts

FCF margin

1.0%+5.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$476.6M$476.6M$468.5M$435.1M$481.3M
Net Income$21.2M$21.2M$15.3M$42.8M$60.5M
EBITDA$68.3M$68.3M$54.3M$81.8M$93.2M
EPS0.210.210.150.420.75
Gross Margin22.6%22.6%20.5%22.9%26.6%
Operating Margin5.3%5.3%2.4%5.0%14.5%
Net Margin4.4%4.4%3.3%9.8%12.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.020.100.12
Current Ratio3.293.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.8M$4.8M$-21.1M$-12.6M$-19.1M
Returns
ROE2.2%2.2%1.6%4.3%6.0%
Valuation
P/E132.73132.73141.7356.6433.07
EV/EBITDA40.8240.8232.3523.9916.12
P/B3.003.002.242.451.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%7.7%-9.6%—
EPS Growth40.0%40.0%-64.3%-44.0%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

131.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.59

Spread vs growth

-91.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

71.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.14

Spread vs growth

-31.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

37.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.05

Spread vs growth

2.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +26.4%

Total return

+26.4%

Start / end P/E

154.9x → 139.0x

EPS bridge

0.15 → 0.21

Residual

-4.1%

EPS growth+40.0%
Multiple rerating-10.2%
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.