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301419.SZ$37.40-2.40%
Fair $37.40+0.0%

301419.SZ

Shanghai Allied Industrial Group Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$37.40

-0.92 (-2.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.40Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 68/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $68.8M · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 57/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

68/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301419.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Allied Industrial Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

85.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

41.8x

↑

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

37.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$37
$20$41

TradingView lightweight chart

301419.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.40Periodo +2.4%
Fair value: $37.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.1%

FCF CAGR

+62.8%

FCF margin

15.7%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $436.9M · net income $63.6M · FCF $68.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.9%+0.0% pts

Operating margin

15.9%-5.8% pts

Net margin

14.6%-4.1% pts

FCF margin

15.7%+11.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$436.9M$436.9M$351.2M$387.2M$398.5M
Net Income$63.6M$63.6M$45.8M$56.7M$74.3M
EBITDA$95.4M$95.4M$80.1M$89.2M$108.1M
EPS0.530.530.380.490.83
Gross Margin37.9%37.9%37.7%40.3%37.9%
Operating Margin15.9%15.9%11.3%16.1%21.7%
Net Margin14.6%14.6%13.0%14.6%18.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.44
Current Ratio7.147.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$68.8M$68.8M$28.5M$90.3M$15.9M
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%4.8%6.0%18.5%
Valuation
P/E85.0085.0047.1147.25—
EV/EBITDA41.7641.7620.7824.26—
P/B4.674.672.282.81—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.4%24.4%-9.3%-2.8%—
EPS Growth38.9%38.9%-22.6%-40.2%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

84.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.32

Spread vs growth

-45.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

49.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.02

Spread vs growth

-11.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.47

Spread vs growth

10.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +75.5%

Total return

+75.5%

Start / end P/E

56.2x → 70.6x

EPS bridge

0.38 → 0.53

Residual

+9.9%

EPS growth+38.9%
Multiple rerating+25.5%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.