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301439.SZ$22.52-4.09%
Fair $22.52+0.0%

301439.SZ

Weihai Honglin Electronic Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsShenzhen

$22.52

-0.96 (-4.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $22.52Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-303.5M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 4/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301439.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Weihai Honglin Electronic Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.8B

P/E

42.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

28.2x

↑

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

13.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$23
$14$25

TradingView lightweight chart

301439.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $23.48Periodo -3.4%
Fair value: $22.52

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+20.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.97B · net income $200.8M · FCF $-436.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.2%-2.3% pts

Operating margin

6.2%-1.9% pts

Net margin

5.1%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

-11.0%-19.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.97B$3.97B$3.40B$2.48B$2.29B
Net Income$200.8M$200.8M$196.5M$213.9M$179.3M
EBITDA$295.1M$295.1M$254.6M$267.5M$242.6M
EPS0.520.520.510.590.61
Gross Margin13.2%13.2%12.3%15.0%15.5%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%5.2%8.4%8.1%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%5.8%8.6%7.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.060.020.23
Current Ratio2.022.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-436.1M$-436.1M$-303.5M$-251.4M$184.7M
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%6.8%7.6%18.8%
Valuation
P/E42.4942.4927.5725.08—
EV/EBITDA28.2428.2417.7115.86—
P/B2.862.861.881.91—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.8%16.8%37.1%8.3%—
EPS Growth2.0%2.0%-13.6%-3.3%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

56.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.00

Spread vs growth

-54.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

36.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.42

Spread vs growth

-34.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.89

Spread vs growth

-20.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.4%

Total return

+46.4%

Start / end P/E

30.3x → 43.3x

EPS bridge

0.51 → 0.52

Residual

+0.8%

EPS growth+2.0%
Multiple rerating+42.8%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.