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301508.SZ$25.92+1.15%
Fair $25.92+0.0%

301508.SZ

China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesShenzhen

$25.92

+0.30 (+1.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $25.92Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-51.1M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301508.SZLocal privado en este navegador · China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.9B

P/E

38.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.5x

↑

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

43.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$26
$26$36

TradingView lightweight chart

301508.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $26.31Periodo -46.4%
Fair value: $25.92

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $879.9M · net income $151.6M · FCF $-51.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.5%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

22.2%-0.7% pts

Net margin

17.2%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

-5.8%-19.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$879.9M$879.9M$831.1M$753.7M$637.7M
Net Income$151.6M$151.6M$132.4M$139.4M$117.3M
EBITDA$300.1M$300.1M$263.5M$228.1M$188.9M
EPS0.670.670.590.800.69
Gross Margin43.5%43.5%41.3%45.0%42.7%
Operating Margin22.2%22.2%19.6%24.9%22.9%
Net Margin17.2%17.2%15.9%18.5%18.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.01
Current Ratio4.614.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-51.1M$-51.1M$-748.3M$28.1M$84.8M
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%6.8%7.4%13.4%
Valuation
P/E38.6938.6953.5741.44—
EV/EBITDA17.5017.5024.9819.88—
P/B2.872.873.663.05—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.9%5.9%10.3%18.2%—
EPS Growth14.5%14.5%-26.8%15.7%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

50.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.30

Spread vs growth

-36.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.78

Spread vs growth

-18.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.48

Spread vs growth

-6.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.8%

Total return

-17.8%

Start / end P/E

55.2x → 39.2x

EPS bridge

0.59 → 0.67

Residual

-4.2%

EPS growth+14.5%
Multiple rerating-29.0%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.