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301515.SZ$20.85-3.96%
Fair $20.85+0.0%

301515.SZ

Sichuan Gangtong Medical Equipment Group Co., Ltd

Healthcare / Medical DevicesShenzhen

$20.85

-0.86 (-3.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.85Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-47.9M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -0.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301515.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Sichuan Gangtong Medical Equipment Group Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

141.9x

↑

ROE

-0.2%

↓

Gross Margin

22.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$21
$18$27

TradingView lightweight chart

301515.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.85Periodo -49.3%
Fair value: $20.85

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.9%

FCF / Net income

13.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $721.6M · net income $-2.6M · FCF $-35.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.7%-6.6% pts

Operating margin

8.5%-7.2% pts

Net margin

-0.4%-10.0% pts

FCF margin

-4.9%-10.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$721.6M$721.6M$754.1M$842.4M$768.5M
Net Income$-2.6M$-2.6M$14.4M$83.1M$73.9M
EBITDA$11.0M$11.0M$33.6M$108.8M$104.0M
EPS-0.03-0.030.150.970.99
Gross Margin22.7%22.7%19.9%25.8%29.2%
Operating Margin8.5%8.5%7.5%13.6%15.7%
Net Margin-0.4%-0.4%1.9%9.9%9.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.160.090.16
Current Ratio2.442.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-35.2M$-35.2M$-47.9M$-143.1M$42.9M
Returns
ROE-0.2%-0.2%1.1%6.3%13.3%
Valuation
P/E——117.8330.50—
EV/EBITDA141.89141.8936.7117.49—
P/B1.641.641.321.91—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.3%-4.3%-10.5%9.6%—
EPS Growth-118.9%-118.9%-85.1%-1.3%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.3%

Total return

+7.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.15 → -0.03

Residual

+6.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.