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301535.SZ$16.34-1.39%
Fair $16.34+0.0%

301535.SZ

Zhejiang Huayuan Auto Technology Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$16.34

-0.23 (-1.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.34Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $25.0M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301535.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Huayuan Auto Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.9B

P/E

86.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

44.7x

↑

ROE

8.8%

↑

Gross Margin

26.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$16
$16$31

TradingView lightweight chart

301535.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.34Periodo -32.1%
Fair value: $16.34

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

17.7%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $762.5M · net income $100.1M · FCF $135.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.7%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

15.1%-0.0% pts

Net margin

13.1%-2.5% pts

FCF margin

17.7%+18.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$762.5M$762.5M$681.7M$553.3M$491.2M
Net Income$100.1M$100.1M$107.3M$82.6M$76.8M
EBITDA$150.9M$150.9M$162.1M$131.3M$121.9M
EPS0.240.240.300.230.21
Gross Margin26.7%26.7%31.5%29.9%28.7%
Operating Margin15.1%15.1%18.6%15.7%15.2%
Net Margin13.1%13.1%15.7%14.9%15.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.200.200.14
Current Ratio3.553.55———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$135.0M$135.0M$25.0M$-29.4M$-5.9M
Returns
ROE8.8%8.8%12.5%11.0%11.6%
Valuation
P/E86.0086.00———
EV/EBITDA44.6844.68———
P/B6.006.00———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.9%11.9%23.2%12.6%—
EPS Growth-20.0%-20.0%30.4%9.5%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

82.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.45

Spread vs growth

-102.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

48.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.75

Spread vs growth

-68.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.83

Spread vs growth

-48.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.8%

Total return

-24.8%

Start / end P/E

73.7x → 68.1x

EPS bridge

0.30 → 0.24

Residual

+1.5%

EPS growth-20.0%
Multiple rerating-7.7%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.