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301552.SZ$26.10-2.14%
Fair $26.10+0.0%

301552.SZ

Hebei Keli Automobile Equipment Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$26.10

-0.57 (-2.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $26.10Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $41.9M · quality 63.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301552.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hebei Keli Automobile Equipment Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

22.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.2x

↑

ROE

13.1%

↑

Gross Margin

36.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$26
$26$35

TradingView lightweight chart

301552.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $26.67Periodo -29.9%
Fair value: $26.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.6%

FCF CAGR

-28.2%

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $677.2M · net income $155.2M · FCF $38.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.0%-4.5% pts

Operating margin

24.8%-7.0% pts

Net margin

22.9%-5.7% pts

FCF margin

5.7%-20.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$677.2M$677.2M$611.7M$487.8M$405.7M
Net Income$155.2M$155.2M$150.2M$137.1M$116.3M
EBITDA$201.6M$201.6M$193.3M$177.1M$146.6M
EPS1.251.251.421.481.25
Gross Margin36.0%36.0%39.2%42.7%40.5%
Operating Margin24.8%24.8%27.6%32.1%31.8%
Net Margin22.9%22.9%24.6%28.1%28.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.02—0.00
Current Ratio4.154.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$38.7M$38.7M$233.5M$41.9M$104.5M
Returns
ROE13.1%13.1%13.1%25.6%29.3%
Valuation
P/E22.5022.5020.39——
EV/EBITDA14.2114.2114.32——
P/B2.732.732.68——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.7%10.7%25.4%20.2%—
EPS Growth-11.9%-11.9%-3.7%18.0%—
Dividend Yield7.2%7.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

22.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.32

Spread vs growth

-34.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.80

Spread vs growth

-29.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4.51

Spread vs growth

-25.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.5%

Total return

-7.5%

Start / end P/E

21.5x → 20.8x

EPS bridge

1.42 → 1.25

Residual

+0.4%

EPS growth-11.9%
Multiple rerating-3.2%
Dividend+7.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.