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301563.SZ$211.70+20.00%
Fair $211.70+0.0%

301563.SZ

ICkey (Shanghai) Internet and Technology Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailShenzhen

$211.70

+35.28 (+20.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $211.70Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-76.0M · quality 60.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

8/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 2Warnings: 0unknown: 2
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Limited financial history; valuation confidence should be treated as provisional. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301563.SZLocal privado en este navegador · ICkey (Shanghai) Internet and Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.9B

P/E

122.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

75.3x

↑

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

15.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$212
$92$212

TradingView lightweight chart

301563.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $211.70Periodo +67.2%
Fair value: $211.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.24B · net income $98.9M · FCF $-227.1M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.9%-84.1% pts

Operating margin

4.8%-95.2% pts

Net margin

3.1%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-7.0%-9.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$3.24B$3.24B$2.64B
Net Income$98.9M$98.9M$78.6M
EBITDA$146.2M$146.2M$138.4M
EPS1.871.871.61
Gross Margin15.9%15.9%100.0%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%100.0%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.15—
Current Ratio2.842.84—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-227.1M$-227.1M$75.2M
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%—
Valuation
P/E122.37122.37—
EV/EBITDA75.2975.29—
P/B9.219.21—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.8%22.8%—
EPS Growth16.2%16.2%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

115.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$18.78

Spread vs growth

-99.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

64.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$22.73

Spread vs growth

-48.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

34.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$36.61

Spread vs growth

-18.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total +67.5%

Total return

+67.5%

Start / end P/E

78.6x → 113.2x

EPS bridge

1.61 → 1.87

Residual

+7.1%

EPS growth+16.2%
Multiple rerating+44.0%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.