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301566.SZ$31.08-4.25%
Fair $31.08+0.0%

301566.SZ

Dalian Dalicap Technology Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$31.08

-1.38 (-4.25%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $31.08Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $146.5M · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301566.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Dalian Dalicap Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.4B

P/E

77.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

56.4x

↑

ROE

10.8%

↑

Gross Margin

66.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$31
$16$35

TradingView lightweight chart

301566.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $31.08Periodo +7.2%
Fair value: $31.08

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.8%

FCF CAGR

+1.9%

FCF margin

40.4%

FCF / Net income

0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $362.4M · net income $159.1M · FCF $146.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.2%+5.9% pts

Operating margin

47.4%+3.9% pts

Net margin

43.9%+6.9% pts

FCF margin

40.4%+11.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$362.4M$362.4M$323.3M$345.7M$477.0M
Net Income$159.1M$159.1M$113.8M$124.8M$176.7M
EBITDA$211.3M$211.3M$157.1M$171.7M$242.4M
EPS0.400.400.280.370.52
Gross Margin66.2%66.2%60.0%58.5%60.3%
Operating Margin47.4%47.4%38.4%42.2%43.6%
Net Margin43.9%43.9%35.2%36.1%37.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.000.080.27
Current Ratio38.7338.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$146.5M$146.5M$79.8M$172.7M$138.3M
Returns
ROE10.8%10.8%8.4%9.9%25.8%
Valuation
P/E77.7077.7054.2576.84—
EV/EBITDA56.3956.3933.7750.91—
P/B8.408.404.587.62—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.1%12.1%-6.5%-27.5%—
EPS Growth42.9%42.9%-24.3%-28.8%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

90.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.76

Spread vs growth

-47.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

52.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.34

Spread vs growth

-10.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.37

Spread vs growth

13.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +89.2%

Total return

+89.2%

Start / end P/E

58.7x → 77.7x

EPS bridge

0.28 → 0.40

Residual

+13.9%

EPS growth+42.9%
Multiple rerating+32.3%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.