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301578.SZ$32.48+3.37%
Fair $32.48+0.0%

301578.SZ

Guangdong Seneasy Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Communication EquipmentShenzhen

$32.48

+1.06 (+3.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.48Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-19.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301578.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Seneasy Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

249.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

39.1x

↑

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

18.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$32
$30$41

TradingView lightweight chart

301578.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.48Periodo -31.3%
Fair value: $32.48

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $814.9M · net income $25.5M · FCF $-5.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.2%-7.7% pts

Operating margin

2.8%-11.6% pts

Net margin

3.1%-8.8% pts

FCF margin

-0.7%-3.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$814.9M$814.9M$873.5M$720.1M$744.8M
Net Income$25.5M$25.5M$47.2M$90.6M$88.6M
EBITDA$63.9M$63.9M$87.7M$118.1M$116.5M
EPS0.310.310.581.491.46
Gross Margin18.2%18.2%19.7%27.2%25.8%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%6.1%13.6%14.4%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%5.4%12.6%11.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.120.130.12
Current Ratio2.002.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.5M$-5.5M$-185.9M$-19.0M$23.5M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%5.0%9.9%29.5%
Valuation
P/E249.85249.8559.5028.17—
EV/EBITDA39.0739.0730.1617.36—
P/B2.862.863.002.78—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.7%-6.7%21.3%-3.3%—
EPS Growth-46.6%-46.6%-61.1%2.5%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

110.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.88

Spread vs growth

-156.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

62.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.49

Spread vs growth

-108.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.62

Spread vs growth

-80.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.4%

Total return

-9.4%

Start / end P/E

62.4x → 104.8x

EPS bridge

0.58 → 0.31

Residual

-31.6%

EPS growth-46.6%
Multiple rerating+68.0%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.