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301581.SZ$48.70-3.79%
Fair $48.70+0.0%

301581.SZ

HuangShan Googe Co.,Ltd.

Technology / SemiconductorsShenzhen

$48.70

-1.92 (-3.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $48.70Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $23.6M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301581.SZLocal privado en este navegador · HuangShan Googe Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

95.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

35.7x

↑

ROE

5.5%

↑

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$49
$43$69

TradingView lightweight chart

301581.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $48.70Periodo -30.4%
Fair value: $48.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $848.1M · net income $55.0M · FCF $-27.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%-14.5% pts

Operating margin

7.6%-14.3% pts

Net margin

6.5%-12.0% pts

FCF margin

-3.2%-0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$848.1M$848.1M$724.6M$759.0M$536.7M
Net Income$55.0M$55.0M$111.9M$157.3M$99.5M
EBITDA$93.6M$93.6M$151.3M$207.3M$129.1M
EPS0.690.691.872.621.69
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%22.5%28.7%26.5%
Operating Margin7.6%7.6%18.7%25.1%21.9%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%15.4%20.7%18.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.000.010.02
Current Ratio7.037.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-27.3M$-27.3M$23.6M$66.9M$-16.6M
Returns
ROE5.5%5.5%11.1%37.7%38.3%
Valuation
P/E95.4995.4932.63——
EV/EBITDA35.7235.7219.93——
P/B3.853.853.61——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.0%17.0%-4.5%41.4%—
EPS Growth-63.1%-63.1%-28.6%55.0%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

84.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.32

Spread vs growth

-147.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

49.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.23

Spread vs growth

-113.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.42

Spread vs growth

-91.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.6%

Total return

-2.6%

Start / end P/E

27.1x → 70.6x

EPS bridge

1.87 → 0.69

Residual

-101.1%

EPS growth-63.1%
Multiple rerating+160.2%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-101.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.