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301628.SZ$124.12-0.45%
Fair $124.12+0.0%

301628.SZ

Shenzhen Q&D Circuits Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$124.12

-0.56 (-0.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $124.12Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $33.5M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 301628.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Q&D Circuits Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.4B

P/E

80.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

48.9x

↑

ROE

10.3%

↑

Gross Margin

29.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$124
$77$147

TradingView lightweight chart

301628.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $124.12Periodo -9.7%
Fair value: $124.12

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-19.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $953.5M · net income $120.9M · FCF $-188.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.4%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

14.6%+1.4% pts

Net margin

12.7%+0.2% pts

FCF margin

-19.8%-25.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$953.5M$953.5M$793.0M$713.2M$731.0M
Net Income$120.9M$120.9M$112.6M$91.1M$90.9M
EBITDA$185.8M$185.8M$170.6M$144.7M$140.6M
EPS1.601.601.891.611.61
Gross Margin29.4%29.4%30.8%31.4%29.5%
Operating Margin14.6%14.6%15.9%14.6%13.1%
Net Margin12.7%12.7%14.2%12.8%12.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.050.100.19
Current Ratio2.132.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-188.7M$-188.7M$33.5M$84.3M$42.0M
Returns
ROE10.3%10.3%10.4%17.8%21.9%
Valuation
P/E80.0880.0837.56——
EV/EBITDA48.9148.9123.17——
P/B8.008.003.92——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.2%20.2%11.2%-2.4%—
EPS Growth-15.3%-15.3%17.4%0.0%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

90.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.01

Spread vs growth

-105.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

52.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.33

Spread vs growth

-68.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$21.46

Spread vs growth

-45.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +51.2%

Total return

+51.2%

Start / end P/E

43.6x → 77.6x

EPS bridge

1.89 → 1.60

Residual

-12.0%

EPS growth-15.3%
Multiple rerating+78.1%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.