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3020.T$4200.00+0.96%
Fair $4200.00+0.0%

3020.T

Applied Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Electronics & Computer DistributionTokyo

$4200.00

+40.00 (+0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4200.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 70/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.5B · quality 75.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

70/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3020.TLocal privado en este navegador · Applied Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.4B

P/E

5.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.0x

↓

ROE

14.9%

↑

Gross Margin

21.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$4200
$3105$4765

TradingView lightweight chart

3020.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,200Periodo +156.9%
Fair value: $4,200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.5%

FCF CAGR

+52.7%

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

1.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $47.29B · net income $1.77B · FCF $2.70B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.3%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

5.6%+0.3% pts

Net margin

3.7%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

5.7%+4.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$47.29B$47.29B$42.82B$38.61B$43.96B
Net Income$1.77B$1.77B$1.21B$1.10B$1.49B
EBITDA$2.87B$2.87B$2.10B$1.83B$2.48B
EPS654.08654.08447.80406.51549.68
Gross Margin21.3%21.3%22.2%22.3%20.3%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%5.0%4.5%5.4%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%2.8%2.8%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.060.110.19
Current Ratio2.062.06———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.70B$2.70B$1.14B$1.53B$758.0M
Returns
ROE14.9%14.9%11.7%11.8%17.6%
Valuation
P/E4.964.966.404.974.37
EV/EBITDA2.012.012.201.792.25
P/B0.960.960.750.590.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.4%10.4%10.9%-12.2%—
EPS Growth46.1%46.1%10.2%-26.0%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-17.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$372.68

Spread vs growth

63.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$450.94

Spread vs growth

53.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$726.25

Spread vs growth

45.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.6%

Total return

+35.6%

Start / end P/E

7.1x → 6.4x

EPS bridge

447.80 → 654.08

Residual

-4.3%

EPS growth+46.1%
Multiple rerating-9.4%
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.