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v0.1
3031.T$631.00-1.56%
Fair $631.00+0.0%

3031.T

RACCOON HOLDINGS, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$631.00

-10.00 (-1.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $631.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $862.3M · quality 71.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3031.TLocal privado en este navegador · RACCOON HOLDINGS, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.8B

P/E

15.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

18.3%

↑

Gross Margin

80.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.27

↓
52-Week Range$631
$603$849

TradingView lightweight chart

3031.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $631.00Periodo -29.0%
Fair value: $631.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.4%

FCF CAGR

-20.6%

FCF margin

14.1%

FCF / Net income

1.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.10B · net income $836.9M · FCF $862.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

80.9%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

20.6%-2.9% pts

Net margin

13.7%+6.3% pts

FCF margin

14.1%-21.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.10B$6.10B$5.81B$5.32B$4.79B
Net Income$836.9M$836.9M$326.0M$668.8M$354.7M
EBITDA$1.41B$1.41B$666.9M$1.20B$811.3M
EPS39.2839.2815.0730.1215.90
Gross Margin80.9%80.9%79.4%80.5%82.5%
Operating Margin20.6%20.6%9.8%22.4%23.5%
Net Margin13.7%13.7%5.6%12.6%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.200.190.22
Current Ratio1.441.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$862.3M$862.3M$424.3M$963.4M$1.73B
Returns
ROE18.3%18.3%6.6%12.3%6.6%
Valuation
P/E15.1715.1743.8624.4490.94
EV/EBITDA7.357.3515.969.9334.65
P/B2.932.932.903.016.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%9.2%11.1%—
EPS Growth160.7%160.7%-50.0%89.4%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$55.99

Spread vs growth

148.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$67.75

Spread vs growth

149.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$109.11

Spread vs growth

149.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.7%

Total return

-15.7%

Start / end P/E

51.8x → 16.1x

EPS bridge

15.07 → 39.28

Residual

-110.8%

EPS growth+160.7%
Multiple rerating-69.0%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-110.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.