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v0.1
3034.T$1805.00-2.06%
Fair $1805.00+0.0%

3034.T

Qol Holdings Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Pharmaceutical RetailersTokyo

$1805.00

-38.00 (-2.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1805.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.2B · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3034.TLocal privado en este navegador · Qol Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$67.8B

P/E

9.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

9.0%

↑

Gross Margin

14.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.72

↑
52-Week Range$1805
$1681$2404

TradingView lightweight chart

3034.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,805Periodo +528.4%
Fair value: $1,805

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $263.97B · net income $5.16B · FCF $-9.33B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.8%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

5.1%-0.8% pts

Net margin

2.0%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

-3.5%-8.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$263.97B$263.97B$180.05B$170.04B$166.20B
Net Income$5.16B$5.16B$4.88B$5.66B$5.49B
EBITDA$21.42B$21.42B$14.21B$14.56B$14.52B
EPS137.97137.97131.11152.96—
Gross Margin14.8%14.8%12.9%13.8%13.9%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%4.6%5.6%5.9%
Net Margin2.0%2.0%2.7%3.3%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.720.720.600.470.53
Current Ratio0.780.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.33B$-9.33B$11.22B$7.15B$8.38B
Returns
ROE9.0%9.0%9.2%11.6%12.5%
Valuation
P/E9.159.1512.957.56—
EV/EBITDA3.823.824.753.213.32
P/B1.181.181.200.880.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth46.6%46.6%5.9%2.3%—
EPS Growth5.2%5.2%-14.3%——
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$160.16

Spread vs growth

0.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$193.80

Spread vs growth

-1.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$312.11

Spread vs growth

-3.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.1%

Total return

+0.1%

Start / end P/E

14.2x → 13.1x

EPS bridge

131.11 → 137.97

Residual

-0.4%

EPS growth+5.2%
Multiple rerating-7.7%
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.