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3045.T$1478.00-0.20%
Fair $1478.00+0.0%

3045.T

Kawasaki & Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingTokyo

$1478.00

-3.00 (-0.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1478.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $319.4M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3045.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kawasaki & Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

9.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

5.9%

↑

Gross Margin

46.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$1478
$1351$1576

TradingView lightweight chart

3045.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,475Periodo +35.3%
Fair value: $1,478

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

21.8%

FCF / Net income

1.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.29B · net income $338.2M · FCF $498.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.3%+7.0% pts

Operating margin

22.5%+7.7% pts

Net margin

14.8%-37.6% pts

FCF margin

21.8%+50.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.29B$2.29B$2.18B$1.75B$1.53B
Net Income$338.2M$338.2M$293.4M$205.1M$798.0M
EBITDA$825.7M$825.7M$708.3M$526.7M$1.45B
EPS157.58157.58136.5795.47371.40
Gross Margin46.3%46.3%42.7%40.7%39.3%
Operating Margin22.5%22.5%18.4%16.2%14.8%
Net Margin14.8%14.8%13.4%11.7%52.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.230.220.12
Current Ratio0.590.59———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$498.4M$498.4M$319.4M$-801.7M$-443.6M
Returns
ROE5.9%5.9%5.3%3.8%15.2%
Valuation
P/E8.978.979.3313.883.55
EV/EBITDA4.284.284.897.221.97
P/B0.550.550.490.530.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%24.9%14.6%—
EPS Growth15.4%15.4%43.1%-74.3%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$131.15

Spread vs growth

21.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$158.69

Spread vs growth

15.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$255.57

Spread vs growth

10.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.3%

Total return

+10.3%

Start / end P/E

10.1x → 9.4x

EPS bridge

136.57 → 157.58

Residual

-1.1%

EPS growth+15.4%
Multiple rerating-7.4%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.