StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
3076.T$2773.00+1.42%
Fair $2773.00+0.0%

3076.T

Ai Holdings Corporation

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$2773.00

+40.00 (+1.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2773.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 67/B
F-Score: 4/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.9B · quality 71.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 68/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

67/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 3076.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ai Holdings Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$147.7B

P/E

11.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

19.4%

↑

Gross Margin

45.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$2773
$2175$2966

TradingView lightweight chart

3076.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,850Periodo +2198.4%
Fair value: $2,773

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.0%

FCF CAGR

-18.5%

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $66.20B · net income $21.28B · FCF $3.94B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.8%-1.7% pts

Operating margin

13.4%-7.5% pts

Net margin

32.1%+15.7% pts

FCF margin

5.9%-9.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$66.20B$66.20B$49.81B$46.40B$47.06B
Net Income$21.28B$21.28B$15.68B$8.24B$7.74B
EBITDA$23.66B$23.66B$19.98B$11.54B$11.87B
EPS407.13407.13331.11174.06163.40
Gross Margin45.8%45.8%49.7%49.2%47.5%
Operating Margin13.4%13.4%19.7%20.3%20.9%
Net Margin32.1%32.1%31.5%17.8%16.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.020.02
Current Ratio4.754.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.94B$3.94B$6.17B$3.80B$7.27B
Returns
ROE19.4%19.4%19.6%12.3%12.6%
Valuation
P/E11.2111.217.1812.839.83
EV/EBITDA4.274.273.896.033.46
P/B1.321.321.411.581.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth32.9%32.9%7.4%-1.4%—
EPS Growth23.0%23.0%90.2%6.5%—
Dividend Yield4.9%4.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$246.06

Spread vs growth

38.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$297.73

Spread vs growth

29.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$479.50

Spread vs growth

21.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.3%

Total return

+34.3%

Start / end P/E

6.7x → 7.0x

EPS bridge

331.11 → 407.13

Residual

+1.2%

EPS growth+23.0%
Multiple rerating+5.3%
Dividend+4.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.