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3096.T$1614.00+0.12%
Fair $1614.00+0.0%

3096.T

Ocean System Corporation

Consumer Defensive / Grocery StoresTokyo

$1614.00

+2.00 (+0.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1614.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3B · quality 62.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3096.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ocean System Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.1B

P/E

13.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

9.4%

↑

Gross Margin

22.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.30

↓
52-Week Range$1614
$1183$1800

TradingView lightweight chart

3096.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,614Periodo +380.4%
Fair value: $1,614

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.8%

FCF CAGR

+33.6%

FCF margin

1.4%

FCF / Net income

1.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $91.06B · net income $1.05B · FCF $1.29B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.1%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

1.9%-0.0% pts

Net margin

1.2%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

1.4%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$91.06B$91.06B$85.90B$77.71B$72.70B
Net Income$1.05B$1.05B$1.34B$358.2M$798.6M
EBITDA$2.57B$2.57B$2.94B$1.77B$2.32B
EPS111.51111.51142.0638.0584.83
Gross Margin22.1%22.1%22.6%22.4%23.2%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%2.2%1.5%2.0%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%1.6%0.5%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.390.530.50
Current Ratio1.231.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.29B$1.29B$2.75B$162.4M$541.2M
Returns
ROE9.4%9.4%12.9%3.9%9.0%
Valuation
P/E13.2413.247.5425.7311.81
EV/EBITDA5.355.353.125.964.41
P/B1.361.360.971.021.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.0%6.0%10.5%6.9%—
EPS Growth-21.5%-21.5%273.4%-55.1%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$143.22

Spread vs growth

-30.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$173.29

Spread vs growth

-30.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$279.09

Spread vs growth

-31.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +36.6%

Total return

+36.6%

Start / end P/E

8.4x → 14.5x

EPS bridge

142.06 → 111.51

Residual

-15.6%

EPS growth-21.5%
Multiple rerating+72.5%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.